Likelihood of propensity to travel: Prediction based on socio-demographic factors

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5937/menhottur2101061Z

Keywords:

propensity to travel, prediction, likelihood, socio-demographic determinants

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to provide some insights into socio-demographic determinants of predicting the likelihood of residents propensity to travel. Using the quota sampling technique, data collection was carried out from October to December 2019, yielding a sample of 632 valid responses. To gain a better understanding of the sociodemographic determinants of propensity to travel, we, primarily, use descriptive statistical analysis, chi-square test and probit regression model. The research findings have revealed that age, education and household income characteristics may be considered as antecedents of travel propensity of residents. Having in mind the impact that Covid-19 pandemic has on sector of tourism worldwide, and based on the results of this research, policymakers‘ efforts should be directed to promoting local tourist destinations and to enhancing tourism literacy of residents.

References

Bianchi, C., & Milberg, S. (2017). Investigating non-visitors‘ intentions to travel to a long-haul holiday destination. Journal of Vacation Marketing, 23(4), 339–354. https://doi.org/10.1177/1356766716653646

Ching-Fu, C., & Wub, C. (2009). How motivations, constraints, and demographic factors predict seniors‘ overseas travel propensity. Asia Pacific Management Review, 14(3), 301–312.

Choi, K. H., Kim, M., & Leopkey, B. (2019). Prospective tourists‘ risk perceptions and intentions to travel to a mega-sporting event host country with apparent risk. Journal of Sport & Tourism, 23(2-3), 97–114. https://doi.org/10.1080/14775085.2020.1715826

Dogru, T. (2016). Chinese propensity to purchase a vacation: The role of financial behavior and confidence in economy. Tourism: An International Interdisciplinary Journal, 64(2), 149–158.

Gurbaskan Akyuz, B. (2019). Factors that influence local food consumption motivation and its effects on travel intentions. Anatolia, 30(3), 358–367. https://doi.org/10.1080/13032917.2019.1595072

Handayani, D., & Djamaluddin, S. (2016). The propensity of household to go on vacation, Indonesia. International Conference on Tourism, Gastronomy, and Tourist Destination (ICTGTD 2016), Atlantis Press. https://doi.org/10.2991/ictgtd-16.2017.38

Hur, Y., & Adler, H. (2013). An exploratory study of the propensity for South Koreans to take cruises: Investigating Koreans‘ perceptions of cruise ship travel. International Journal of Tourism Research, 15(2), 171–183. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.1862

Kožić, I., Mikulić, J., & Krešić, D. (2016). Propensity to travel: What the macro-data are telling us? In Á., Matias, P., Nijkamp & J., Romão (Eds.), Impact Assessment in Tourism Economics (pp. 9–22). Cham: Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-14920-2_2

Letheren, K., Martin, B. A., & Jin, H. S. (2017). Effects of personification and anthropomorphic tendency on destination attitude and travel intentions. Tourism Management, 62, 65–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2017.03.020

Seyidov, J. & Adomaitiene, R. (2016). Factors influencing local tourists ‘ decisionmaking on choosing a destination: A case of Azerbaijan. Ekonomika, 95(3), 112–127.

Šuran, F. (2016). Slobodno vrijeme, putovanje i turizam: Sociološki pristup [Leisure, travel and tourism: A sociological approach] . Buje: Happy.

Thrane, C., Menezes, A. G. D., & Uzagalieva, A. (2016). A multivariate logit for propensity to choose package tour over independent travel. CEEAplA-A-Working Paper Series, 1–25.

Toivonen, T. (2004). Changes in the propensity to take holiday trips abroad in EU countries between 1985 and 1997. Tourism Economics, 10(4), 403–417. https://doi.org/10.5367/0000000042430935

Downloads

Published

2021-06-24

How to Cite

Zahirović, S. ., Okičić, J., Herić, M. ., & Kakeš, D. . (2021). Likelihood of propensity to travel: Prediction based on socio-demographic factors . Hotel and Tourism Management, 9(1), 61–71. https://doi.org/10.5937/menhottur2101061Z

Issue

Section

Original Scientific Papers